[wxqc] Rain Forecast

[Victor Engel]

OK. So using 6 hours instead of 3, I get the following revised
probabilities:

On 9/14/06, Victor Engel <brillig at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
> Date/Time Probability
> 9/14 07:00 0.05
> 9/15 07:00 0.10
> 9/17 13:00 0.20
> 9/18 07:00 0.50
> 9/18 19:00 0.30
> 9/19 07:00 0.20
> 9/20 07:00 0.10
>
> Using the above calculations, I get the following probabilities for the 24
> hour periods following those same times:
>
> 9/14 07:00 0.19
> 9/15 07:00 0.34
> 9/17 13:00 0.74
> 9/18 07:00 0.88
> 9/18 19:00 0.69
> 9/19 07:00 0.59
> 9/20 07:00 ----
>
> The last line is blank because the projection does not go that far. Now I
> show the probabilities that it will rain sometime BY the time listed (these
> times are 3 hours later, because the times in the numbers above are for
> subsequent periods).
>
> 9/14 13:00 0.05
> 9/15 13:00 0.27
> 9/17 16:00 0.75
> 9/18 10:00 0.92
> 9/18 22:00 0.97
> 9/19 10:00 0.98
> 9/20 10:00 0.99
>

These new numbers were calculated assuming the probabilities in the link
were 6 hour probabilities.
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